The race has been transformed in the last ten days. Members hold the balance of power. It's a two horse race - and overwhelmingly both Liz and Andy supporters have Yvette as their second preference. That's why I think Yvette is going to win.
The political parties seek to differentiate themselves on issues such as the NHS, immigration, the economy, mental health, education, nationalism, the environment, austerity, and much else. But science rarely seems to rank as even a second-tier area for political differentiation...
Since the election, output for every hour worked has not gone up - it's gone down, whilst output per worker has followed the same trajectory. We're actually less productive than we were in 2010. This appalling record is far worse than the last years of the 1970s, long deemed the moment when 'British disease' reached its peak.
It is well known these cuts have been savage, unfair, and that they seriously affect the disabled. But what if they actually targeted the disabled, hitting them the hardest, piling all the harshest cuts on the services that are actually the most vital?
For Labour and for the disability movement there is a big challenge ahead. Over time it will become even easier to show how bad and damaging current government policies are. We may even yet see the government take a few backward steps. But the real challenge is to change the framework of debate.
The real challenge for Labour is to defend its heritage. The welfare state is under attack like never before, and fighting for real rights is the key to its defence.
By failing to vote against this Bill, Labour is effectively supporting the Government and indicating that it, like David Cameron's administration, sees no problem in bringing in emergency legislation to overturn a court's findings when it goes against them.
The chaos at DWP knows no bounds. They've given us a Work Programme worse than doing nothing. Universal Credit is descending into universal chaos. And now the department has bodged its regulations so badly that a Court of Appeal judgement has struck down its general power to issue sanctions of any kind shape or form. Incredible.
As we get ever more accustomed to austerity, with the granny-taxing budget of last week only the latest attack on living standards, it is perhaps worth revisiting the welfare discussion anew.
Liam Byrne obviously hasn't let the recently departed festive season slow him down.
Over a decade ago, another politician promised voters he would run as a compassionate Conservative. George W. Bush then proceeded with tax cuts that profited the better off, ran up unemployment and presided over a record increase in the number of states handing out food parcels. Now the mask has slipped from David Cameron and George Osborne. They will never look the same to us again.
We cannot afford a million-strong army of young unemployed. As a country, we can choose to avoid the costly errors of the past. This is not a price worth paying.
The theme of Labour's annual conference in Liverpool this coming week will be "responsibility", as Ed Miliband begins trying to explain why he should become Prime Minister.