POLITICS
12/05/2014 11:43 BST | Updated 12/05/2014 12:59 BST

Conservatives Take Poll Lead For First Time In Two Years

Britain's Prime Minister David Cameron smiles during an interactive session with students of the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, on the outskirts of Kolkata on November 14, 2013. Cameron is in India for a one day visit ahead of the Commonwealth Head of Government meeting (CHOGM) which is scheduled to be held in the Sri Lankan capital Colombo from November 15-17.   AFP PHOTO/POOL/Rupak De Chowdhuri         (Photo credit should read RUPAK DE CHOWDHURI/AFP/Getty Images)
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Britain's Prime Minister David Cameron smiles during an interactive session with students of the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, on the outskirts of Kolkata on November 14, 2013. Cameron is in India for a one day visit ahead of the Commonwealth Head of Government meeting (CHOGM) which is scheduled to be held in the Sri Lankan capital Colombo from November 15-17. AFP PHOTO/POOL/Rupak De Chowdhuri (Photo credit should read RUPAK DE CHOWDHURI/AFP/Getty Images)

A national poll has put the Conservatives ahead of Labour for the first time in more than two years, with less than 12 months to go until the general election.

A national telephone poll carried out by Lord Ashcroft put the Conservatives on 34%, Labour on 32%, the Lib Dems on 9% and Ukip on 15%.

The survey will be a boost to David Cameron and Conservative MPs, who are fighting an uphill battle to secure relelection in 2015. And it will worry Labour MPs amid reports of jitters on the backbenches and in the shadow cabinet about the party's election strategy.

Writing on Conservative Home, Lord Ashcroft, the Tory peer who has remade himself as a pollster, said his findings demonstrated how tightly fought the upcoming campaign will be.

"The Tory lead is somewhat more slender than it looks: if one fewer interviewee had named the Conservatives the party’s score would have been rounded down to 33 per cent rather than up to 34 per cent, and the lead would be down to one point. As I was saying earlier, margins of error could play a starring role in this election and this is exactly why."

And due to the electoral map, a two point lead for the Conservatives at the general election would still result in a overall Labour majority.

Labour has held a consistent lead over the Conservative Party for some time and while the gap has narrowed in recent weeks.

However a YouGov poll for yesterday's Sunday Times gave Ed Miliband a commanding lead, with Labour on 38% compared to the Conservatives on 31%. That would give Labour a majority of 84 seats.

FULL DATA:Lord Ashcroft Poll Gives Conservative Party The Lead