Tory Members Twice As Likely To Support Hanging Than Soft Brexit, New Study Finds

YouGov/Queen Mary study: 44% of Tory grassroots aged 65+
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Tory party members are twice as likely to support the restoration of capital punishment than to back a ‘soft Brexit’, a new survey has found.

The study by Queen Mary University of London and YouGov found that the Conservative rank and file were also opposed to same sex marriage, supported austerity and were sceptical about the benefits of immigration.

The research, described as the most comprehensive survey of party membership ever undertaken, showed that Tories were “a breed apart” on social and economic issues compared to Labour, Lib Dem and SNP members.

The Tory grassroots, which was found to be older and more male than other parties, felt less valued by their leadership and more likely to be inactive than their rivals.

The Party Members Project study, published by Queen Mary’s Mile End Institute and funded by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC), found big differences on Brexit across the political divide.

Jeremy Corbyn at Labour's party conference.
Jeremy Corbyn at Labour's party conference.
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While members of other parties favour a second referendum on Europe by overwhelming majorities (Labour 78 per cent, SNP 87 per cent and Lib Dems 91 per cent), just one in ten Tory members (14 per cent) agree.

Nine out of ten members of the other parties support continued membership of the single market (Labour 87 per cent, SNP 95 per cent, Lib Dem 96 per cent) and the customs union (Labour 85 per cent, SNP 91 per cent, Lib Dems 95 per cent).

But just a quarter of grassroots Tories would like to see such a soft Brexit (25 per cent favouring staying in the single market, 27 per cent in the customs union).

Boris Johnson on the Vote Leave campaign trail
Boris Johnson on the Vote Leave campaign trail
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More than half of Tory party members (54 per cent) support the death penalty (SNP 23 per cent, Labour 9 per cent, Lib Dem 8 per cent) and 77 per cent agree that young people don’t have enough respect for traditional British values (SNP 23 per cent, Labour 20 per cent, Lib Dem 18 per cent).

On the economy, just 11 per cent of Tory members think that ‘austerity has gone too far’, compared with 98 per cent of Labour members, 93 per cent of SNP members, and 75 per cent of Lib Dem members.

And on the question of economic fairness, only 19 per cent of Tory members agree that ordinary working people don’t get their fair share of the nation’s wealth.

Same sex marriage posters
Same sex marriage posters
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Tory members are also considerably more sceptical about gay marriage, with only four in 10 supporting - half the 80 per cent backing given in other parties.

Members of all four parties are more likely to be male, older, middle-class, and white than the average Briton – but Tory members are even more unrepresentative than their counterparts in the other parties.

Some 71 per cent of the Conservative grassroots are men, compared with 53 per cent of Labour members, 57 per cent of SNP members and 63 per cent of Lib Dems.

The average age of party members is 57 for the Tories, 54 for the SNP 53 for Labour, and 52 for the Liberal Democrats – and just one in 20 party members in the UK is aged between 18-24.

But the averages disguise some significant differences – not least that 44 per cent of Tory members are aged 65 or over, compared with 29 per cent of Labour members, 30 per cent of Lib Dem members and 32 per cent of SNP members.

Tory members are also sceptical about how much their views count, with just 28 per cent agreeing that members have a significant say on party policy. This compares with 75 per cent of Lib Dem members, 73 per cent of SNP members, and 61 per cent of Labour members. Some 29 per cent of Tories also think the leadership doesn’t pay a lot of attention to members.

Professor Tim Bale told HuffPost UK: “Time has moved on and the country has become more socially liberal in all sorts of ways, but many Tory members continue to stick to their guns - especially on gay marriage and capital punishment.

“And not only do they want us to leave the EU, the majority favours a hard rather than a soft Brexit.

“Britain’s party members are the lifeblood and the footsoldiers of our democracy. But that doesn’t necessarily mean they look like or think like their parties’ voters – or, indeed, look or think like each other. The Tory grassroots in particular are something of a breed apart from their Labour, Lib Dem and SNP counterparts.”

The Party Members Project (PMP) is a three-year project run by Tim Bale, Paul Webb and Monica Poletti and funded by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC). YouGov recruited the survey respondents from a panel of around 300,000 volunteers.


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