23/01/2013 10:53 GMT

EU Referendum: What Are The Odds? Higher Than Miliband For PM, About Even With Clinton For President

On Wednesday morning David Cameron promised an in/out referendum on the EU and set the date for 2017.

Only thing is, there is a rather large obstacle in the way and we're not talking about Nigel Farage's unusually wide grin.

An election.

A very important election which the Conservatives must win otherwise all of this referendum talk is as relevant as Donald Trump.

Currently, online bookmakers, Paddy Power, are offering odds of 11/4 for a Conservative majority in 2015 and 5/2 on an EU referendum taking place in 2017.

Lets put these into context with a look at the odds offered on some other things on the political (and not so political) horizon...