On Wednesday morning David Cameron promised an in/out referendum on the EU and set the date for 2017.
Only thing is, there is a rather large obstacle in the way and we're not talking about Nigel Farage's unusually wide grin.
An election.
A very important election which the Conservatives must win otherwise all of this referendum talk is as relevant as Donald Trump.
Advertisement
Currently, online bookmakers, Paddy Power, are offering odds of 11/4 for a Conservative majority in 2015 and 5/2 on an EU referendum taking place in 2017.
Lets put these into context with a look at the odds offered on some other things on the political (and not so political) horizon...