Housing Market Is Biggest Threat To UK, Warns Bank Of England Official

Housing Market Is Biggest Potential Threat To UK, Warns BoE Official
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For Sale signs displayed outside houses in Finsbury Park, North London.
Yui Mok/PA Archive

Britain's overheating housing market is the "main potential threat" to the country's financial stability, a Bank of England policymaker has warned.

Ben Broadbent, the Bank's incoming deputy governor for monetary policy, told MPs in a written submission that 'domestically, the main potential threat lies in the housing market.

"I say “potential” because, as yet, growth in mortgage debt remains low," he said.

"The housing market is recovering. That poses a risk to financial stability if it is accompanied by sharp rises in the number of risky mortgages."

Bank officials are increasingly worried about the risks of the UK housing market overheating, as rapidly rising house prices fuel fears of a bubble developing. Soaring house prices could see home-buyers take on more debt than they can afford, which would leave them vulnerable when either interest rates rise, or house prices fall.

Broadbent, who currently sits on the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee and takes over as deputy governor in July, said the UK was "not yet" at the stage of seeing falling mortgage underwriting standards and a rapid growth in mortgage debt.

However, he made clear that the Bank's Financial Policy Committee would "scrutinise" the housing market and look out for any risks.

Under questioning by the Treasury select committee, he said that the Bank would focus on the "rate of growth of mortgages, which today is very low".

"I don't worry about house price growth per se, I worry about debt growth on the back of it," he told MPs.

Broadbent played down suggestions that the government-backed mortgage guarantee scheme Help to Buy was making the housing market more risky, even though critics have warned would help overheat the market by boosting demand without helping the supply of new homes.

"In terms of the magnitude of its effect, I don't think it'll be of the first order," he told MPs, describing the policy as a "small part of the story". "It is there and the FPC has a responsibility to think about that," he admitted.

Bank of England FPC member Richard Sharp recently warned that the UK's economic position remained 'fragile'.

11 Reasons The Bank Of England May Be Ignoring A Housing Bubble
And even world snooker champions...(01 of10)
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Ronnie O'Sullivan says a huge housing bubble (and crash) will happen.Or in his words: "Baby it's coming."
Central London house prices are rising £729 per day(02 of10)
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The average price for a three-bedroom house in central London has increased by £729 a day over the last year, equivalent to a quarter of a million pounds, estate agency Marsh & Parsons said.The estate agent firm said the scale of house price inflation meant that prices rose by 19% since April 2013 to an average of £1.6 million, equivalent to £5,120 a week, or eight times Londoners' £658-a-week median salary.
Single people can't seem to afford to own a property (03 of10)
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Less than one in ten properties in many parts of the UK are affordable to single house-buyers, according to the homeless charity Shelter. Meanwhile, three central London areas are completely unaffordable for couples with children or single people living on average wages: Kensington and Chelsea, Westminster and Camden
This garage was sold for £251,000(04 of10)
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And this tiny Chelsea lawn went for over 80 grand(05 of10)
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This tiny lawn in Chelsea sold this month for £84,000, and it doesn't have planning permission or right of way.
This garden looks a bargain by comparison(06 of10)
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It sold for £53,000 last September - and you can't do anything on it at all
You'll only need save for 30 years to buy a home...(07 of10)
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So says independent research commissioned by Shelter .That boy has already started on his first house...
You might as well move here(08 of10)
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Other Bank of England chiefs are worried...(09 of10)
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Sir Jon Cunliffe, the Bank's deputy governor for financial stability, has warned that it would be "dangerous to ignore the momentum that has built up in the UK housing market."He also said that the housing market was the "brightest light" blinking on the dashboard of financial hazards that the Bank monitors.
Broadbent himself admits he may be wrong(10 of10)
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While arguing that Britain is not showing signs of a housing bubble, Broadbent admitted that it may be easier to spot with hindsight. “Bubbles are things that are things that are far easier to identify after the event than at the time," Broadbent told Radio 4's Today programme. (credit:Reuters )

However Sharp suggested that the Bank's FPC would take a "graduated and proportionate action" to head off any risks from a burgeoning housing market.

The FPC is expected to take action next month in response to the state of the housing market and other potential risks. Officials could tighten the underwriting rules further, or could force banks to hold more capital in case home loans default. The Bank could also ask the government to make changes to its Help to Buy scheme.

World's Most Overvalued Housing Markets
Japan(01 of128)
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House price valuation vs. rent: -37% (undervalued)House price valuation vs. income: -37% (credit:Getty Images)
Germany(02 of128)
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House price valuation vs. rent: -15% (undervalued)House price valuation vs. income: -18% (credit:Alamy)
Italy(03 of128)
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House price valuation vs. rent: -2%House price valuation vs. income: +11% (credit:Alamy)
United States(04 of128)
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House price valuation vs. rent: +2%House price valuation vs. income: -12% (credit:Shutterstock)
Netherlands(05 of128)
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House price valuation vs. rent: +6%House price valuation vs. income: +21% (credit:Alamy)
United Kingdom(06 of128)
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House price valuation vs. rent: +20%House price valuation vs. income: +14% (credit:Shutterstock)
France(07 of128)
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House price valuation vs. rent: +36%House price valuation vs. income: +31% (credit:Alamy)
Australia(08 of128)
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House price valuation vs. rent: +46%House price valuation vs. income: +24% (credit:Getty Images)
New Zealand(09 of128)
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House price valuation vs. rent: +68%House price valuation vs. income: +24% (credit:Alamy)
Canada(10 of128)
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House price valuation vs. rent: +74%House price valuation vs. income: +30% (credit:Canadian Press)
Hong Kong(11 of128)
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House price valuation vs. rent: +84%House price valuation vs. income: n/a (credit:Getty Images)
(12 of128)
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Also on HuffPost:MOST EXPENSIVE HOUSES FOR SALE IN CANADA
14: Vaughan, ON - $17.8 million(13 of128)
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Six bedrooms and 12 bathrooms in this house the realtor describes as a veritable "Versailles" in the Toronto suburbs.Amenities include a seven-car garage, a "Ferrari room" (can you keep any other cars there?), handpainted sculptures and ceilings, and a heated indoor pool. (credit:Harvey Kalles Real Estate)
14: Vaughan, ON - $17.8 million(14 of128)
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(credit:Harvey Kalles Real Estate)
14: Vaughan, ON - $17.8 million(15 of128)
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(credit:Harvey Kalles Real Estate)
14: Vaughan, ON - $17.8 million(16 of128)
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(credit:Harvey Kalles Real Estate)
14: Vaughan, ON - $17.8 million(17 of128)
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(credit:Harvey Kalles Real Estate)
14: Vaughan, ON - $17.8 million(18 of128)
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(credit:Harvey Kalles Real Estate)
14: Vaughan, ON - $17.8 million(19 of128)
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(credit:Harvey Kalles Real Estate)
14: Vaughan, ON - $17.8 million(20 of128)
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(credit:Harvey Kalles Real Estate)
13: Toronto, ON - $19 million(21 of128)
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This two-story, 10,000-square-foot condo in the heart of Toronto's super-ritzy Yorkville neighbourhood boasts four bedrooms, five baths and 5,000 square feet of terraces.One feature that could make many Toronto commuters jealous is the parking availability — the condo comes with four spots. (credit:Chestnut Park Real Estate)
13: Toronto, ON - $19 million(22 of128)
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(credit:Chestnut Park Real Estate)
13: Toronto, ON - $19 million(23 of128)
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(credit:Chestnut Park Real Estate)
13: Toronto, ON - $19 million(24 of128)
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(credit:Chestnut Park Real Estate)
13: Toronto, ON - $19 million(25 of128)
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(credit:Chestnut Park Real Estate)
13: Toronto, ON - $19 million(26 of128)
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(credit:Chestnut Park Real Estate)
13: Toronto, ON - $19 million(27 of128)
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(credit:Chestnut Park Real Estate)
12: Vancouver, BC - $19.7 million(28 of128)
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Though it might look like a bungalow from some angles, this is actually a three-story house located on UBC's endowment lands. Eight bedrooms and eight bathrooms on some 11,500 square feet. Not to mention an indoor pool and a view of the ocean. (credit:Homeland Realty)
12: Vancouver, BC - $19.7 million(29 of128)
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(credit:Homeland Realty)
12: Vancouver, BC - $19.7 million(30 of128)
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(credit:Homeland Realty)
12: Vancouver, BC - $19.7 million(31 of128)
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(credit:Homeland Realty)
12: Vancouver, BC - $19.7 million(32 of128)
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(credit:Homeland Realty)
12: Vancouver, BC - $19.7 million(33 of128)
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(credit:Homeland Realty)
12: Vancouver, BC - $19.7 million(34 of128)
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(credit:Homeland Realty)
11: Vancouver, BC - $19.8 million(35 of128)
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This penthouse unit in Vancouver's tallest waterfront tower features a media room, a climate-controlled wine room and views in all directions from multiple terraces.Four bedrooms and five bathrooms on 6,000 square feet of living space. (credit:Rennie & Associates)
11: Vancouver, BC - $19.8 million(36 of128)
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(credit:Rennie & Associates)
11: Vancouver, BC - $19.8 million(37 of128)
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(credit:Rennie & Associates)
11: Vancouver, BC - $19.8 million(38 of128)
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(credit:Rennie & Associates)
11: Vancouver, BC - $19.8 million(39 of128)
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(credit:Rennie & Associates)
11: Vancouver, BC - $19.8 million(40 of128)
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(credit:Rennie & Associates)
11: Vancouver, BC - $19.8 million(41 of128)
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(credit:Rennie & Associates)
11: Vancouver, BC - $19.8 million(42 of128)
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(credit:Rennie & Associates)
10: Vancouver, BC - $19.8 million(43 of128)
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For a house of this price, the 3,400 square feet of living space and four bedrooms might seem less than impressive. But then, the house sits on a 75,000-square-foot lot overlooking the ocean. In Vancouver's Point Grey neighbourhood, that's enough to crown you king. For a wealthy investor, this property could be an ideal "tear-down."Sadly, only two pics available of this house. (credit:Royal Pacific)
10: Vancouver, BC - $19.8 million(44 of128)
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(credit:Royal Pacific)
9: Vancouver, BC - $19.9 million(45 of128)
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The selling agent promises "360 degree panoramic views of Coal Harbour, mountain, Stanley Park & the city" in this 6,000-square-foot, three-bedroom penthouse.Features include a double-height living room, a rooftop jacuzzi and ensuite bathrooms in each bedroom. (credit:Macdonald Realty)
9: Vancouver, BC - $19.9 million(46 of128)
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9: Vancouver, BC - $19.9 million(47 of128)
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9: Vancouver, BC - $19.9 million(48 of128)
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9: Vancouver, BC - $19.9 million(49 of128)
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9: Vancouver, BC - $19.9 million(50 of128)
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9: Vancouver, BC - $19.9 million(51 of128)
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9: Vancouver, BC - $19.9 million(52 of128)
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9: Vancouver, BC - $19.9 million(53 of128)
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9: Vancouver, BC - $19.9 million(54 of128)
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8: West Vancouver, BC - $19.9 million(55 of128)
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OK, this is NOT actually the house for sale. There is no house on this property; it's a vacant lot. The pictures depicted in the realtor's ad, of this rather extravagant property, are actually artist's renderings. But the renderings caused some confusion earlier this year, with the realtor being accused of running a "fake" ad.So rather than show you pictures of a vacant, $19.9-million lot, here are the artist's renderings of the non-existent, ninth-most-expensive house for sale in Canada. (credit:Re/Max)
8: West Vancouver, BC - $19.9 million(56 of128)
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(credit:Re/Max)
8: West Vancouver, BC - $19.9 million(57 of128)
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(credit:Re/Max)
7: Kelowna, BC - $20 million(58 of128)
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Only four bedrooms and two baths in this property in B.C.'s Okanagan Valley. But the property sits on more than 100 acres, and features a massive dock and a waterfall with guest houses near each. (credit:Jane Hoffman/Coldwell Banker)
7: Kelowna, BC - $20 million(59 of128)
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(credit:Jane Hoffman/Coldwell Banker)
7: Kelowna, BC - $20 million(60 of128)
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(credit:Jane Hoffman/Coldwell Banker)
7: Kelowna, BC - $20 million(61 of128)
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(credit:Jane Hoffman/Coldwell Banker)
7: Kelowna, BC - $20 million(62 of128)
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(credit:Jane Hoffman/Coldwell Banker)
7: Kelowna, BC - $20 million(63 of128)
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(credit:Jane Hoffman/Coldwell Banker)
7: Kelowna, BC - $20 million(64 of128)
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(credit:Jane Hoffman/Coldwell Banker)
7: Kelowna, BC - $20 million(65 of128)
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(credit:Jane Hoffman/Coldwell Banker)
7: Kelowna, BC - $20 million(66 of128)
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(credit:Jane Hoffman/Coldwell Banker)
7: Kelowna, BC - $20 million(67 of128)
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(credit:Jane Hoffman/Coldwell Banker)
6: West Vancouver - $21.8 million(68 of128)
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This massive, 16,000-square-foot home sits on a one-acre lot and features a pool and a stunning poolside kitchen, as well as a wine cellar, a theatre, a guest suite, a pool room and a gym. And oh yeah, it has bedrooms too - six of them.
6: West Vancouver - $21.8 million(69 of128)
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6: West Vancouver - $21.8 million(70 of128)
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6: West Vancouver - $21.8 million(71 of128)
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6: West Vancouver - $21.8 million(72 of128)
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6: West Vancouver - $21.8 million(73 of128)
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6: West Vancouver - $21.8 million(74 of128)
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6: West Vancouver - $21.8 million(75 of128)
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6: West Vancouver - $21.8 million(76 of128)
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6: West Vancouver - $21.8 million(77 of128)
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6: West Vancouver - $21.8 million(78 of128)
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6: West Vancouver - $21.8 million(79 of128)
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6: West Vancouver - $21.8 million(80 of128)
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6: West Vancouver - $21.8 million(81 of128)
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6: West Vancouver - $21.8 million(82 of128)
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6: West Vancouver - $21.8 million(83 of128)
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5: West Vancouver, BC - $22 million(84 of128)
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This nearly 10,000-square-foot home in West Van features all sorts of sci-fi goodness, like a TV built into a circular sculpture and an LED-lit wet bar. You have to see the pictures to believe it. Five bedrooms and eight bathrooms in the house. (credit:Malcolm Hasman)
5: Vancouver, BC - $22 million(85 of128)
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(credit:Malcolm Hasman)
5: Vancouver, BC - $22 million(86 of128)
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(credit:Malcolm Hasman)
5: Vancouver, BC - $22 million(87 of128)
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(credit:Malcolm Hasman)
5: Vancouver, BC - $22 million(88 of128)
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(credit:Malcolm Hasman)
5: Vancouver, BC - $22 million(89 of128)
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(credit:Malcolm Hasman)
5: Vancouver, BC - $22 million(90 of128)
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(credit:Malcolm Hasman)
5: Vancouver, BC - $22 million(91 of128)
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(credit:Malcolm Hasman)
5: Vancouver, BC - $22 million(92 of128)
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(credit:Malcolm Hasman)
5: Vancouver, BC - $22 million(93 of128)
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(credit:Malcolm Hasman)
5: Vancouver, BC - $22 million(94 of128)
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(credit:Malcolm Hasman)
5: Vancouver, BC - $22 million(95 of128)
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(credit:Malcolm Hasman)
5: Vancouver, BC - $22 million(96 of128)
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(credit:Malcolm Hasman)
5: Vancouver, BC - $22 million(97 of128)
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5: Vancouver, BC - $22 million(98 of128)
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4: Vancouver, BC - $22.8 million(99 of128)
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The "Mayfair," as this property is known, sits in Vancouver's upscale Shaugnessy district and features four bedrooms and seven bathrooms. The house "blends classical Tudor Architecture with touches of Art Deco," as the realtor describes it. The property features a pool and hot tub, and outdoor kitchen and dining terrace, and a botanical garden. (credit:Faith Wilson Group)
4: Vancouver, BC - $22.8 million(100 of128)
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(credit:Faith Wilson Group)
4: Vancouver, BC - $22.8 million(101 of128)
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4: Vancouver, BC - $22.8 million(102 of128)
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(credit:Faith Wilson Group)
4: Vancouver, BC - $22.8 million(103 of128)
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4: Vancouver, BC - $22.8 million(104 of128)
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4: Vancouver, BC - $22.8 million(105 of128)
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4: Vancouver, BC - $22.8 million(106 of128)
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4: Vancouver, BC - $22.8 million(107 of128)
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(credit:Faith Wilson Group)
4: Vancouver, BC - $22.8 million(108 of128)
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(credit:Faith Wilson Group)
3: Vancouver, BC - $23.8 million(109 of128)
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Yet another property near UBC (are all of Canada's rich people moving into the same neighbourhood?), this house features a rec room, a media room and a wine cellar. Six bedrooms and eight bathrooms, and a damn fine view. (credit:Sutton Group)
3: Vancouver, BC - $23.8 million(110 of128)
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(credit:Sutton Group)
3: Vancouver, BC - $23.8 million(111 of128)
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3: Vancouver, BC - $23.8 million(112 of128)
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3: Vancouver, BC - $23.8 million(113 of128)
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3: Vancouver, BC - $23.8 million(114 of128)
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3: Vancouver, BC - $23.8 million(115 of128)
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3: Vancouver, BC - $23.8 million(116 of128)
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(credit:Sutton Group)
3: Vancouver, BC - $23.8 million(117 of128)
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2: Toronto, ON: $25.8 million(118 of128)
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Seven bedrooms and 14 bathrooms in this house in Toronto's uber-posh Bridle Path. Sadly, the realtor wasn't able to provide any photos of this, the second-most expensive house publicly listed on the market, because it's under construction. But we hear it's awesome! Moving right along... (credit:Re/Max)
1: Vancouver, BC - $29.9 million(119 of128)
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Six bedrooms and 14 bathrooms in this house near UBC, which also features geothermal heating, a 16-seat home theatre, a gym, a two-lane bowling alley and a four-level elevator. You may never need to leave home again. (credit:Homeland Realty)
1: Vancouver - $29.9 million(120 of128)
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(credit:Homeland Realty)
1: Vancouver - $29.9 million(121 of128)
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1: Vancouver - $29.9 million(122 of128)
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1: Vancouver - $29.9 million(123 of128)
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1: Vancouver - $29.9 million(124 of128)
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1: Vancouver - $29.9 million(125 of128)
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1: Vancouver - $29.9 million(126 of128)
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1: Vancouver - $29.9 million(127 of128)
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1: Vancouver - $29.9 million(128 of128)
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(credit:Homeland Realty)