Will Tesco Chief Philip Clarke's Departure Save The Supermarket?

'Like Shuffling Deck-Chairs On The Titanic'
|
Open Image Modal
(FILES) In this file picture taken on March 5, 2012 people carry shopping bags through the carpark of a Tesco Extra supermarket in Birkenhead, north-west England. Britain's biggest retailer, supermarket Tesco, looked on course to withdraw from its struggling US business Fresh & Easy as chief executive Philip Clarke on December 5, 2012 said its presence would likely end. AFP PHOTO / PAUL ELLIS (Photo credit should read PAUL ELLIS/AFP/Getty Images)
PAUL ELLIS via Getty Images

Tesco chief Philip Clarke's departure, after mounting pressure over his failure to improve the supermarket's poor sales, shows the daunting task his successor, Dave Lewis, will have on his hands.

The troubled supermarket, which is seeing its worst sales performance in four decades, announced Clarke's departure as it issued a fresh warning on profits. The City responded with relief to Clarke's departure, as shares soared within the first hour by nearly 3%. But will Clarke's resignation be enough to save the supermarket?

Clarke was left reeling last month after it revealed that Tesco's quarterly like-for-like sales had fallen 3.7%, the worst he had known in nearly 40 years at the supermarket. Tesco later suffered a credit downgrade in recognition of its declining sales, which were described as "disappointing" by former CEO Sir Terry Leahy.

Phil Dorrell, director of consultancy Retail Remedy, said: "Philip Clarke leaving is the right thing for Tesco. His strategy wasn't working and, for some time, the UK's biggest grocer has been drifting aimlessly."

However, other experts warn that the fortunes of Britain's biggest retailer will not simply be fixed by changing one man. Neil Sanders, head of retail research agency Columino, compared the situation to "shuffling deck-chairs on the Titanic".

"It's strategy that counts bad that's what needs to be right," he wrote on Twitter. "One feels for Philip Clarke. A good man in post at the wrong time, solving problems not of his making."

Tesco, like the other big supermarket giants, has increasingly come under pressure from discount retailers like Aldi and Lidl, with their market share steadily being eaten away.

Bernstein Research's Bruno Monteyne argues that Tesco "has been increasing prices way too fast over the last few years to keep up earnings growth". This has led to the supermarket giant losing more than 1 million customer visits a week, worth £25 million in sales.

Open Image Modal

Tesco vs Aldi's market share over time

Professor Chris Edger, from Birmingham City University, says that Tesco needs to focus on price and value-for-money, even if it eats into its profit margins.

"Current [profit] margins at over 5% are unsustainable," he said. “The internet and value retailers will continue to rip into Tesco unless consumers perceive it is returning to its original purpose; providing "surprice" for customers. Investment in services and bolt-on offers is window dressing."

So will Unilever executive Dave Lewis change anything at the reins of Tesco? Independent retail analyst Nick Bubb said: "Dave Lewis knows nothing about retailing, but maybe that doesn’t matter, because as a leading supplier he certainly knows how to win price wars and perhaps that is the big issue now facing Tesco in the UK.”

Lewis may throw Tesco deeper into a price war, but at least it will have a direction.

Six Reasons Tesco's Dominance May Be Finished
Tesco can't shrug off its poor performance(01 of06)
Open Image Modal
Clarke blamed the dip in sales on cutting prices, moving away from vouchers and the disruption from refurbishing a large number of stores.However, Bernstein Research's Bruno Monteyne estimates that if you took out such costs, their like-for-like sales would still have dipped by 2%.
Tesco is trying too hard to appeal to everyone (02 of06)
Open Image Modal
Discount retailers like Asda specialise in offering good deals, while fancy supermarkets like Waitrose are without equal at providing luxury. So Tesco is trying to be a mix of everything, other customers are lured away by more specialised rivals.
Others are doing what Tesco is trying, but better(03 of06)
Open Image Modal
Tesco "has been increasing prices way too fast over the last few years to keep up earnings growth," Monteyne points out.As a result, compared to discount retailers like Asda, Tesco is at least 4% more expensive for shoppers.
1 million fewer customers are visiting a week(04 of06)
Open Image Modal
The proof that Tesco is having some issues comes in the footfall, as the chain seems to have lost more than 1 million customer visits a week, worth £25 million in sales.
Tesco has never done this badly (05 of06)
Open Image Modal
Clarke, who has worked for 40 years at Tesco, admitted: “I have never seen a quarter’s like-for-like sales like this before, that I can remember."Monteyne told Radio 5 Live the results were "the worst in their history."
Even Tesco's boss isn't confident (06 of06)
Open Image Modal
“I see every day the improvements that are coming in the business, but I’m not making any promises about sales improving in the next few quarters," Clarke warned today. Meanwhile, other analysts like Julie Palmer at Begbies Traynor think Clarke "doesn't seem to have a clear turnaround strategy". He'll have to work hard to prove them wrong.